Gender Gap Shifts in Romney’s Favor: Expands Lead With Men

By Terence P. Jeffrey | August 28, 2012 | 11:40 AM EDT

Mitt Romney (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

( - New polling data released by Gallup on Tuesday shows that the gender gap in the 2012 presidential race shifted slightly over the last week—in Mitt Romney’s favor.

Each week, Gallup publishes a demographic breakout of Romney’s and President Barack Obama’s support in the presidential campaign based on its previous three weeks of polling. Last week, when Gallup reported the results for the period from July 30 to Aug. 19, Obama was leading 50 percent to 42 percent among women and Romney was leading 50 percent to 42 percent among men.

The data released by Gallup today, which covers the period from Aug. 6 to Aug. 26, indicates that Obama is still leading 50 percent to 42 percent among women, while Romney has increased his lead to 51 percent to 41 percent among men.

The Gallup survey was based on interviews with 9,659 registered voters.

Over the past month, Obama’s support among women marginally declined. In Gallup’s polling from July 2 to July 22, Obama led Romney among women by 51 percent to 41 percent. But in each three week period since then, Obama has led Romney among women by 50 percent to 42 percent.

Since May 6, when Gallup started publishing its three-week demographic polling breakouts, Obama’s support among women has never exceeded 51 percent. Meanwhile, Romney’s support among men has never exceeded 51 percent.


In the 2008 election, according to Gallup's polling, Obama and McCain tied among male voters with 50 percent each. However, Obama beat McCain among female voters 57 percent to 43 percent.

In its presidential survey, Gallup asks respondents: "Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat or Mitt Romney the Republican?"

Gallup says it also asks those who say they are undecided whether "they lean more toward Obama or Romney and their leanings are incorporated into the results."

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