Trafalgar Polling: Trump Ahead in Arizona, Michigan, and Florida

By Michael W. Chapman | October 21, 2020 | 11:08am EDT
President Donald Trump, left, and former Vice President Joe Biden. (Getty Images)
President Donald Trump, left, and former Vice President Joe Biden. (Getty Images)

(CNS News) -- The Trafalagar Group polling firm, the only pollster to accurately foresee a Donald Trump win in Michigan in 2016, and one of the few groups to forecast a Trump win in Pennsylvania in 2016, currently places Trump ahead of Joe Biden in Arizona and in Florida. 

In the poll, Trafalgar asked 1,051 likely 2020 general election voters in Florida, "If the election for President were held today, how would you vote?"

(Trafalgar Group, Florida poll)
(Trafalgar Group, Florida poll)

In response, 48.4% said they would vote for Donald Trump; 46.1% said they would vote for Biden.

That poll was conducted Oct. 11-13, 2020.

For Arizona, Trafalgar asked the same question of 1,087 likely voters.

In response, 47.8% said they would vote for Trump and 43.8% said they would vote for Biden.

(Trafalgar Group, Arizona poll)
(Trafalgar Group, Arizona poll)

That poll was conducted Oct. 6-8, 2020. 

Trump is leading in Michigan 46.5% to 45.9%.

However, in Pennsylvania, Biden is ahead with 47.4% and Trump at 45.1%.

(Trafalgar Group, Michigan poll)
(Trafalgar Group, Michigan poll)

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