Trafalgar Poll Michigan: Trump 46.5%, Biden 45.9%

By Michael W. Chapman | October 19, 2020 | 12:53pm EDT
(Getty Images)
(Getty Images)

(CNS News) -- The Trafalagar Group polling firm, the only group to foresee a Donald Trump win in Michigan in 2016, and one of the few groups to forecast a Trump win in Pennsylvania in 2016, currently places Trump slightly ahead of Joe Biden in Michigan and Florida, and gives Biden a slight lead in Pennsylvania.

In their Michigan poll, conducted Oct. 11 -14, Trafalgar asked 1,025 likely voters, "If the election for President were held today, how would you vote?"

Michigan Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group.
Michigan Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group.

In response, 46.5% said they would vote for Trump; 45.9% said they would vote for Biden.

In the Florida statewide poll, conducted Oct. 11-13, Trafalgar asked 1,051 likely voters the same question asked in Michigan.

Florida Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group.
Florida Statewide Poll, Trafalgar Group.

In response, 48.4% said they would vote for Trump; 46.1% said they would vote for Biden.

In Pennsylvania, the same question was asked to 1,041 likely voters Oct. 13-15.  In response, 47.5% said Biden and 46.4% said Trump. 

Pennsylvania Statewide Survey, Trafalgar Group.
Pennsylvania Statewide Survey, Trafalgar Group.

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