(CNSNews.com) – On this special election day in Ohio’s 12th congressional district, there is fervent hope among liberal media activists that Donald Trump’s endorsed candidate will go down in defeat – a harbinger of things to come in November.
Democrats hope to flip a seat that Republicans have held for 35 years, in a district that Trump won by 11 points in 2016.
And so it was that MSNBC's sneering "Morning Joe" led this morning's newscast with new weekly tracking numbers from Gallup that show President Trump with an overall 52 percent disapproval rating versus 41 percent approval.
"CNBC's John Harwood analyzed the source of Trump's support and found in the data that whites with no college degree approved of the president's job 58 percent to 39 percent,” host Mika Brzezinski said. She added that the approval/disapproval among "all other Americans" was 29 percent/66 percent.
(Only uneducated whites support Trump, in other words.)
Her co-host and fiancé Joe Scarborough described the poll as "narrow-casting."
"This is about as narrow casting as it gets," Scarborough said. "And Willie (Geist), all I can say for Donald Trump and Republicans who are hoping, like this special election in Ohio tonight, the Republicans hoping that he's somehow going to get them over the finish line, even in strongly Republican districts like this Ohio 12.
“They better hope that their small slice of the electorate comes out, because, I mean, Donald Trump is sacrificing just about every other group in America for this one group of white, non-college educated voters that, again, just -- there just aren't enough to get him over the top or to get his candidates over the top in a lot of elections."
"Yeah," Geist said, "and that Gallup number of 41 percent approval is about where he's been over the course of his presidency but that cross-tab that you're looking at, that is so interesting. Remember he won white non-college voters by almost 40 percent, so that certainly makes up the core of his base, Gene Robinson, and those are the people we see out at the rallies of last week -- those three big rallies. That is his hard-core support.
“But it remains to be seen if, when he does intervene in some of these elections, like Ohio 12...it remains to be seen how powerful exactly he is in these races,” Geist concluded.
Gene Robinson picked up the baton: "Yeah, I mean what we've learned so far I think in the special elections and the primaries is that he's very powerful inside the Republican Party. He is -- you know, got 89 percent support among Republicans. So it's very difficult if you're going to run as a Republican in a primary to buck Trump.
“On the other hand, he is very unpopular among your general -- among Americans in general, and Democrats have been doing a whole lot better than one would expect, than anyone imagined, in these elections. We shouldn't be talking about this Ohio special election. This is a safe Republican seat, and we're talking about it, because it's a Trumpee-backed candidate who is up against a Democrat who's a moderate who could win,” Robinson said.
Scarborough pointed to an article quoting a “rock-ribbed” Republican who voted for Trump and now says, “'I hate him.' Something along those lines -- 'I can't stand him. He's a jerk.' We're hearing that more and more..."
Scarborough opined that at some point, "just hating Nancy Pelosi" is "not going to be enough" to help Republican candidates "because Nancy Pelosi is not running the country."
And then it was contributor Mike Barnicle's turn: "You know, Joe, there's a real tragic aspect to these numbers that we just indicated in the poll. The fact that he has overwhelming among largely whites with a high school degree -- these are people who need a president standing up for them more than most people in America.
“And he goes to these rallies, and if you listen to the rallies...he doesn't propose anything to help them. Instead he relies on grievance. He relies on trying to cement the divisions that already exist in America. He relies on strengthening those divisions. He relies on talking about race; he relies on talking about, really, hate. And these people who show up are victims of a con,” Barnicle said.
“Not all of them are racist -- now some perhaps are, there's no doubt about that. But they're victims of a con. They need a leader, a president who will do something about their lives to improve their lives. That's the tragedy."
And so it goes.
Before the show started, Trump was up and tweeting about Ohio’s special election, urging Ohioans to “vote today” for the candidate he has endorsed.