Rasmussen: Voters Say Reelection Far More Likely Than Impeachment, Defeat

By Craig Bannister | September 29, 2019 | 12:07pm EDT
Pres. Donald Trump

Nearly three times as many U.S. voters now say the reelection of President Donald Trump is more likely than his impeachment, a new national Rasmussen Reports survey shows.

The survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted September 25-26, reveals that voters also say Trump is far more likely to defeat his Democrat opponent – if his fate is left up to the 2020 national election.

“Which is more likely – that President Trump will be reelected in 2020, that he will be defeated by the Democratic nominee in 2020 or that he will be impeached before serving his full term in office?”

  • Reelected: 46%, unchanged from July
  • Defeated: 28%, down from 33% in July
  • Impeached: 17%, up from 11% in July (down from high of 29% in Dec. 2017)

Far more unaffiliated voters say it’s most likely that Trump will be reelected (43%) than think impeachment (17%) is the most likely outcome.

Unsurprisingly, four of five Republicans (80%) think Trump is more likely to be reelected next year, compared to 19% of Democrats and, conversely, 28% of Democrats and a mere 6% of GOP voters think impeachment is more likely.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 25-26, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


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