Poll: 41% of American Adults Expect Crime to Increase Under Biden Presidency

Craig Bannister | January 7, 2021 | 1:37pm EST
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Joe Biden
(Getty Images/Saul Loeb)

Far more Americans expect crime to increase, rather than decline, with former Vice President Joe Biden as president, and a strong majority oppose defunding the police, a new national survey of American adults by Rasmussen Reports finds.

The national survey of 1,000 Americans at least 18 years old, conducted January 4-5, 2021, asked the following question:

“Under the presidency of Joe Biden, do you expect crime nationwide to increase, decrease or stay about the same?”

Forty-one percent (41%) predict that crime will get worse under Biden:

  • Increase: 41%
  • Decrease: 28%
  • Stay About the Same: 21%
  • Not Sure: 10%

Differences among parties are stark, with only 20% of Democrats expecting crime to rise, compared to 69% of Republicans and 39% of “other” political affiliations who fear crime will increase.

By race, 44% of Whites, 28% of Blacks and 41% of other races expect crime to get worse with a Biden administration. Forty-six percent (46%) of both married adults and those with children at home predict an increase in crime.

A separate question asked in the survey finds that Americans have little support for liberals’ “defund the police” movement.

While 61% oppose “reducing the police budget” in their communities, about one-quarter (24%) favor defunding police to some degree. Sixteen percent of those surveyed say they’re “not sure.”

Opposition to a reduction in police funding rises with age, from nearly half (48%) of those 18-39 years old, to 69% of those 40-64 and 71% of adults 65 and older.

Support for defunding police is much higher for Democrats (37%) than it is for either Republicans (10%) or other affiliations (21%). Conversely, 85% of Republicans and 57% of those with other political leanings are opposed to shrinking police budgets.

Blacks (23%) are no more likely than either Whites (24%) or other races (23%) to favor cutting funding for police in their communities.

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