Biden Leads Iowa Poll, But 45% of Voters Might Switch Candidates on Day of Caucus

Craig Bannister | January 29, 2020 | 3:34pm EST
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Fmr. V.P. Joe Biden
(Getty Images/Saul Loeb)


Presidential hopeful and former Vice President Joe Biden is in the lead heading into Monday’s Democrat caucus – but, the competition to become the party’s 2020 presidential candidate could well end up being “a five-way contest,” Monmouth University reports, announcing results of its latest poll.

Not only are five candidates within striking distance of winning, but nearly half of likely caucusgoers also say they might change their choice on the day of the vote, Monmouth reports:

“Nearly half (45%) say they are open to switching support on caucus night, including 13% who rate this as a high possibility, 23% a moderate possibility, and 9% a low possibility.”

The Monmouth University poll, conducted January 23-27, 2020, of 1,345 Iowa voters drawn from a list of registered Democratic and unaffiliated voters who voted in at least one of the last two state primary elections or the 2018 general election or have registered to vote since November 2018, reveals that Joe Biden remains Iowa Democrats’ top preference:

·         Joe Biden: 23%

·         Sen. Bernie Sanders: 21%

·         Mayor Pete Buttigieg: 16%

·         Sen. Elizabeth Warren: 15%

·         Sen. Amy Klobuchar: 10%

Monmouth reports that the changes from its survey conducted earlier in the month are statistically insignificant.

Read Monmouth’s full analysis here.

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