Gore, McCain Lead in Latest NH Poll

By Jerry Miller | July 7, 2008 | 8:25 PM EDT

Manchester, NH (CNSNews.com) - Vice President Al Gore is rapidly leaving his sole rival in the dust according to the latest three-day tracking poll from the locally-based American Research Group.

The survey, completed on Thursday night, shows Gore leading Bill Bradley by a margin of 47 percent to 38 percent. Three days ago, the same poll showed Bradley with a slight lead over Gore. The survey has a margin of error of four percent.

On the Republican side, Arizona Senator John McCain leads Texas Governor George W Bush, 35 to 30 percent, followed by publisher Steve Forbes with 17 percent. Trailing badly are Alan Keyes at four percent and Gary Bauer and Utah Senator Orrin Hatch at one percent each.

In a separate poll, conducted by the firm of Ayres, McHenry & Associates of Georgia for the American Association of Health Plans, Bradley and Gore remain tied at 41 percent each on the Democratic side while McCain swamps Bush, 42 to 25 percent, with Forbes showing 14 percent. The survey has a margin of error of 4.9 percent and questioned 414 likely Republican voters and 386 likely Democrats. The poll was commissioned and paid for by the association, a national organization which represents HMOs.

Pollster Whit Ayers cautioned against reading a great deal into the poll, at least until the Iowa caucus results are in, a state in which McCain has not campaigned.

The poll also showed McCain and Bradley running strong among Independents, the largest voting bloc in New Hampshire. Independents likely to vote Republican race favor McCain over Bush by a margin of 51 to 19 percent while Independents likely to vote Democrat favor Bradley over Gore, 49 to 38 percent.

The survey also found little interest among Granite State voters in HMO reform.