As Congress Debated Health Care, Independents Moved Toward Favoring Congressional Republicans over Democrats by 22-Point Margin, Says Gallup Poll
In July, 43% of registered independent voters said they would vote for the Republican congressional candidate in their district and 42% said they would vote for the Democratic congressional candidates, according to Gallup’s “generic congressional ballot” poll. In November, independent voters favored the Republican congressional candidate over the Democrat 52% to 30%.
“Over the course of the year, independents' preference for the Republican candidate in their districts has grown, from a 1-point advantage in July to the current 22-point gap,” says Gallup’s analysis of the data.
Among all registered voters, the generic Republican candidate is favored over the generic Democrat 48% to 44%.
Gallup asked respondents the following: “If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your congressional district—the Democratic Party’s candidate (or) the Republican Party’s candidate. (If unsure: As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party’s candidate (or) the Republican Party’s candidate?)”