Based on polling conducted Sept. 23 to Oct. 3,
If Gallup’s estimate holds up, self-professed conservative voters in this year’s midterm congressional election will outnumber self-professed liberals (18 percent of Gallup’s “likely voter” pool) by 3-to-1, and self-professed moderates (27 percent of Gallup’s “likely voter” pool) by 2-to-1.
The 54 percent of likely voters who
Independents, according to
In the previous four midterm elections, according to
In 1994, when Republicans won a majority of both houses of Congress for the first time in more than four decades, conservatives and Republicans were more evenly matched among likely voters than they are now, according to
Democrats were 33 percent of likely voters in 1994, according to
In the 1998 midterm election, conservatives were 46 percent of likely voters; in 2002, they were 42 percent; and in 2006, they were 42 percent, according to
Self-described "moderates" have declined dramatically among "likely voters" since the 1994 election, according to Gallup. In that year, moderates were 48 percent of likely voters compared to the 27 percent Gallup estimates today.